The aim of the following work is to assess the dynamic effects of government spending on an extensive set of variables via macroeconometric modeling. As argued in Fatas and Mihov (2001), the following analysis of government spending is not a restrictive focus, but it explicitly aims at resolving...

This paper proposes a methodology to price bonds jointly issued by a group of countries—called Eurobonds in the euro-area context. We consider two types of bonds: the first is backed by several and joint (SJG) guarantees, the second features several but not joint (SNJG) guarantees. A crucial...

Exploiting information contained in the term-structure of sovereign credit spreads, we estimate time-varying fiscal limits – defined as the maximum outstanding debt that can credibly be covered by future primary budget surpluses. Our approach is based on a novel sovereign credit risk model...

This paper argues that the type of COVID-19 containment measures affects the trade-offs between infection cases, economic activity and sovereign risk. Using local projection methods and a year and a half of high-frequency daily data covering 44 advanced and emerging economies, we find that smart...

This paper argues that the type of COVID-19 containment measures affects the trade-offs between infection cases, economic activity and sovereign risk. Using local projection methods and a year and a half of high-frequency daily data covering 44 advanced and emerging economies, we find that smart...

We investigate the international propagation of fiscal policy shocks originated in the United States using a Global VAR framework. We identify shocks to US tax rates and government spending by using narrative series as external instruments, following the proxy SVAR methodology. The main results...

How often should we update predictions for economic activity? Gross domestic product is a quarterly variable disseminated usually a couple of months after the end of the quarter, but many other macroeconomic indicators are released with a higher frequency, and financial markets react very...