Fudenberg, Drew; Lanzani, Giacomo; Strack, Philipp - In: Theoretical Economics 18 (2023) 4, pp. 1585-1622
We show that Bayesian posteriors concentrate on the outcome distributions that approximately minimize the Kullback-Leibler divergence from the empirical distribution, uniformly over sample paths, even when the prior does not have full support. This generalizes Diaconis and Freedman (1990)'s...