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The aim of the present book is to bring together, for the first time, the key readings in megaproject planning and management. This literature has until now been scattered over a large number of disciplines and publications making it difficult to obtain an overview, in one place, of the history,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426555
This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of cost escalation in transportation infrastructure projects. Based on a sample of 258 transportation infrastructure projects worth US$90 billion and representing different project types, geographical regions, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426556
This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of traffic forecasts in transportation infrastructure projects. The sample used is the largest of its kind, covering 210 projects in 14 nations worth US$59 billion. The study shows with very high statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426557
Results from the first statistically significant study of the causes of cost escalation in transport infrastructure projects are presented. The study is based on a sample of 258 rail, bridge, tunnel and road projects worth US$90 billion. The focus is on the dependence of cost escalation on: (1)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426558
Lock-in, the escalating commitment of decision makers to an ineffective course of action, has the potential to explain the large cost overruns in large-scale transportation infrastructure projects. Lock-in can occur both at the decision-making level (before the decision to build) and at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426560
A major source of risk in project management is inaccurate forecasts of project costs, demand, and other impacts. The paper presents a promising new approach to mitigating such risk, based on theories of decision making under uncertainty which won the 2002 Nobel prize in economics. First, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426561
"Over budget, over time, over and over again" appears to be an appropriate slogan for large, complex infrastructure projects. This article explains why cost, benefits, and time forecasts for such projects are systematically over-optimistic in the planning phase. The underlying reasons for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426562
We were recently asked by the Danish Transport Council to undertake a review of plans to study the viability of fixed connections across the Baltic Sea at Fehmarn Belt. Fehmarn Belt is the strait between Denmark and Germany located in the western part of the Baltic Sea between the islands of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426563
This article asks how planning scholarship may effectively gain impact in planning practice through media exposure. In liberal democracies, the public sphere is dominated by mass media. Therefore, working with such media is a prerequisite for effective public impact of planning research. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426564
This paper explores how theories of the planning fallacy and the outside view may be used to conduct quality control and due diligence in project management. First, a much-neglected issue in project management is identified, namely that the front-end estimates of costs and benefits -- used in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011426565