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Religion and religiosity are important identity markers, and changes in a country's religious composition may affect its culture, value orientations and policies. In recent decades the Protestants in both the US and Canada have lost their absolute population majority. In the present study we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352585
Religion and religiosity are important identity markers, and changes in a country's religious composition may affect its culture, value orientations and policies. In recent decades the Protestants in both the US and Canada have lost their absolute population majority. In the present study we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009624521
We present new population projections out to 2100 for the countries of the European Union and for the EU as a whole under a wide range of fertility and migration scenarios. As policy-based projections rather than forecasts, they aspire not to maximize predictive success regarding future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015189877
The paper presents a set of population projections for the Brazilian population disaggregated by sex and five-year age groups, seeking to measure the effects of the pandemic seeking to measure the effects of the pandemic on its dynamics. One of the effects was the reduction in life expectancy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486145
Population projections are predominantly made using the cohort-component method (CCM). The opportunities for further development within that framework are limited. Lately, with advances in technical and computational capacity, the microsimulation framework has become a serious contender. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014550302
This paper explores alternative future trajectories of international migration by applying a multiregional flow model to a new set of estimates of global bilateral migration flows developed by the second author. The innovations in population projections presented here are threefold: first, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352619
This paper examines the forecast accuracy of Australian Bureau of Statistics national population projections produced from the 1960s to the early 2000s. As well as total populations, the accuracy of the following is assessed: age-sexspecific populations, the Total Fertility Rate, life expectancy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448622
terms of fertility, mortality, migration, and education) as well as differentials in social mobility by household type. Such … projections could be useful for a variety of purposes ranging from assessment of necessary social investments (education …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940997
Many policy models require assumptions about future population trends. Sensitivity tests for these assumptions are normally carried out by comparing population projection variants. This paper outlines some of the conditions that variant-based sensitivity tests must meet if they are to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115524
In 2017, Pakistan implemented a long-awaited population census since the last one conducted in 1998. However, several experts are contesting the validity of the census data at the sub-national level, in the absence of a post-enumeration survey. We propose in this paper to use demographic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140872