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In frictionless markets dividends are irrelevant to firm value (Miller and Modigliani 1961), but in practice we propose that they affect valuation and stewardship, roles traditionally filled by accounting information. Using a variety of econometric methods to control for differences between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846400
Yes. We show that dividend changes contain information about highly persistent changes in future economic income. Three methodological differences lead us to different conclusions from the extant literature: (i) we use an “event window approach” to cleanly delineate earnings after dividend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899346
We identify a novel bias in analyst forecasts, after revision bias, which we identify by examining an analyst's reports after his final earnings forecast of the quarter. We document that (i) qualitative predictions from the text of reports, (ii) share price target revisions, and (iii) revisions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999517
We show analysts’ own earnings forecasts predict error in their own forecasts of earnings at other horizons, which we argue provides a measure of the extent to which analysts inefficiently use information. We construct our measure by exploiting two sources of variation in analysts’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220544
We show analysts’ own earnings forecasts predict error in their own forecasts of earnings at other horizons, which we argue provides a measure of the extent to which analysts inefficiently use information. We construct our measure by exploiting two sources of variation in analysts’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222335
We provide empirical evidence that the level of the dividend signals long-horizon future earnings and that the earnings information embedded in the dividend has implications for expected returns. From an earnings information perspective, we show the level of the dividend is associated with up to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289730
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Despite prior research documenting that firms led by narcissistic executives experience numerous detrimental effects, narcissists are more promotable, enjoy longer tenures, and earn higher compensation than their peers. These outcomes suggest firms accrue some benefits from executive narcissism....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353269
Using the size of CEO signatures in SEC filings to measure individual narcissism, we find that CEO narcissism is associated with several negative firm outcomes. We first validate signature size as a measure of narcissism but not overconfidence using two laboratory studies, and also find that our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948983