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naive seasonal random walk model, whereas in the US the most adequate models are of a more sophisticated ARIMA type …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015330032
baseline ARIMA (3,0,1) model. The results obtained in the study showed that artificial neural network based models are capable … the artificial neural network based models outperformed the ARIMA based model in forecasting future developments of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488820
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To analyze whether stock-market prices follow a random walk, the algebraic sign of their returns has been compared with a coin toss, which is a prominent example for a Bernoulli trial with equiprobable outcomes. Like coin tosses, signed returns lend themselves for a simple runs test for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464828
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We use the expected lifetime range (ELR) ratio based on the extreme values of asset prices to detect the presence of mean reversion in stock returns. We find that the actual cross-sectional average of the ELR ratio is significantly less than its bootstrap means, thereby indicating a considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905649
, Garman-Klass, Parkinson, Roger-Satchell, and Yang-Zhang methods and forecasting was done through the ARIMA technique. The … forecasting through the ARIMA technique. The study suggested that the forecasted values were accurate based on the values of MAE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870348
, Garman-Klass, Parkinson, Roger-Satchell and Yang-Zhang methods and forecasting is done through ARIMA technique. The study … forecasting through ARIMA Technique. The study suggests that the forecasted values had been accurate based on the values of MAE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860158
We examine the price behavior of 56 major markets over the last 16 years applying a set of univariate and multivariate robust statistical tests across different time frequencies. Our results can be considered as an augmented true out-of-sample test of all previous research testing for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993270
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279