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We create a market-wide measure of dispersion in options investors' expectations by aggregating across all stocks the dispersion in trading volume across moneynesses (DISP). DISP exhibits strong negative predictive power for future market returns and its information content is not subsumed by...
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investor learning about profitability signals underlying earnings. We show that modified earnings variables with lower …, learning efforts to date have been suboptimal at exploiting profitability signals within firms' earnings streams …
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We outline a framework in which accounting “valuation anchors" could be connected to expected stock returns. Under two general conditions, expected log returns is a log- linear function of a valuation (market value-to-accounting) multiple and the expected growth in the valuation anchor. We...
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back on work in industrial organization, we analyze the relationship between profit persistence and expected stock returns …. We show that long-run profit persistence together with other additional economic firm fundamentals have a significant …
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