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dynamics and measures the persistence of shocks to the sovereign bond yield volatility in India from 1 January 2016, to 18 May …Does Indian sovereign yield volatility reflect economic fundamentals, or whether it is a self-generated force flowing … through markets with little connection to such fundamentals? To answer the question, this research explores the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500716
This paper studies predictability of realized volatility of U.S. Treasury futures using high-frequency data for 2-year … to generate systemic under-predictions of future realized volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542381
We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and … for modeling the ISE-100 return volatility. The t-distribution seems to characterize the distribution of the heavy tailed … model to the historical ISE-100 return data indicates that the return volatility reacts to bad news 24% more than they react …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159436
We document a highly significant, strongly nonlinear dependence of stock and bond returns on past equity market … volatility as measured by the VIX. We propose a new estimator for the shape of the nonlinear forecasting relationship that …, revealing flight to safety: expected returns increase for stocks when volatility increases from moderate to high levels, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971196
dynamics and measures the persistence of shocks to the sovereign bond yield volatility in India from 1 January 2016, to 18 May …Does Indian sovereign yield volatility reflect economic fundamentals, or whether it is a self-generated force flowing … through markets with little connection to such fundamentals? To answer the question, this research explores the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015074653
The objective of this article is to investigate the volatility asymmetry, volatility-volume relationship by considering …-GARCH models to examine the volatility pattern in the stock market. Second, both contemporaneous and lagged trading volumes are … augmented in the volatility model to empirically verify the validity of Mixture of Distribution Hypothesis (MDH) and Sequential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078205
The major purpose of this research exercise is to assess the volatility dynamics of the stock returns of the banks of … India and to determine the factor which influence and explains the stock returns. For this the two important methodologies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936374
In this study, the performance of the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (MMAR) was examined for stock index returns of four emerging markets. The MMAR, which takes into account stylized facts of financial time series, such as long memory, fat tails and trading time, was developed as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474619
In this paper, we analysed the heavy-tailed behaviour in the dynamics of housing-price returns in the United States. We investigated the sources of heavy tails by estimating autoregressive models in which innovations can be subject to GARCH effects and/or non-Gaussianity. Using monthly data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794370
intensified the returns vulnerability of banking indices. Against this backdrop, this study intends to model the volatility of the … literature in three ways. First, volatility during the sample period, which corresponds to a time of stress (a bear market), is … more persistent, with an estimated coefficient of 0.995695. Moreover, when volatility rises, it persists for a long time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351495