The Nelson-Siegel framework is employed to model the term structure of commodity futures prices. Exploiting the information embedded in the level, slope and curvature parameters, we develop novel investment strategies that assume short-term continuation of recent parallel, twist or butterfly...

We investigate the investability of commodity risk premia in China. Previously documented standard momentum, carry and basis-momentum factors are not investable due to the unique liquidity patterns along the futures curves in China. However, dynamic rolling and strategic portfolio weights...

Enormous capital inflows into the emerging commodity futures markets in China raised concerns about the impact of speculation. Using a broad sample of 30 commodities across sectors, this paper investigates whether the increased presence of speculators in recent years destabilizes the commodities...