<Emphasis Type="Bold">Objective: To determine and compare the cost utilities of the tumour necrosis factor (TNF) antagonists adalimumab and infliximab as maintenance therapies for patients in the US with moderately to severely active Crohn’s disease. <Emphasis Type="Bold">Methods: Maintenance regimens of adalimumab (40 mg every other...</emphasis></emphasis>

Objective: To determine and compare the cost utilities of the tumour necrosis factor (TNF) antagonists adalimumab and infliximab as maintenance therapies for patients in the US with moderately to severely active Crohn's disease. Methods: Maintenance regimens of adalimumab (40 mg every other...

The majority of research in conflict management focuses on conflict resolution: the process of reaching a mutually beneficial solution for the negotiating parties. However, some negotiations impart substantial negative externalities onto third parties, so "conflict resolution" is socially...

The current experiment compares risk preference in choices for self and others. The experimental task is based on Holt & Laury (2002) Multiple Price List paradigm. Participants chose among ten sets of gambles. Their choices affected either themselves or other participants in matched reciprocal...

The brief working paper describes a hypothetical-choice study on risk taking for self and others. The study asks participants to choose between a risky and safe lunch sandwich option for themselves and for a friend. Surrogate choices were significantly more cautious than personal ones. This...

We report the results of the first large-scale, long-term, experimental test between two crowd sourcing methods – prediction markets and prediction polls. More than 2,400 participants made forecasts on 261 events over two seasons of a geopolitical prediction tournament. Some forecasters traded...

Are we more inclined to take risks for ourselves rather than on someone else's behalf? The current study reviews and summarizes 28 effects from 18 studies (n=4,784). Across all studies, choices for others were significantly more risk-averse than choices for self (d=0.15, p=0.012). Two objective...

The majority of research in conflict management focuses on conflict resolution: the process of reaching a mutually beneficial solution for the negotiating parties. However, some negotiations impart substantial negative externalities onto third parties, so resolving the conflict may not be a...

Forecasting tournaments are misaligned with the goal of producing actionable forecasts of existential risk, an extreme-stakes domain with slow accuracy feedback and elusive proxies for long-run outcomes. We show how to improve alignment by measuring facets of human judgment that play central...

How do we generate accurate predictions about the timely advancement of clinical trials? We report the methods and results of the first study comparing machine modeling and human crowdsourcing methods in clinical trial prediction. The study spans two 6-month tournaments that focus on trial phase...