Ludvigson, Sydney C.; Ng, Serena - In: Review of Financial Studies 22 (2009) 12, pp. 5027-5067
Are there important cyclical fluctuations in bond market premiums and, if so, with what macroeconomic aggregates do these premiums vary? We use the methodology of dynamic factor analysis for large datasets to investigate possible empirical linkages between forecastable variation in excess bond...