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yield volatility. For a positive γ, the results suggest the possibility of a "leverage effect" that is markedly different …Does Indian sovereign yield volatility reflect economic fundamentals, or whether it is a self-generated force flowing … through markets with little connection to such fundamentals? To answer the question, this research explores the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500716
yield volatility. For a positive γ, the results suggest the possibility of a “leverage effect” that is markedly different …Does Indian sovereign yield volatility reflect economic fundamentals, or whether it is a self-generated force flowing … through markets with little connection to such fundamentals? To answer the question, this research explores the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351436
yield volatility. For a positive γ, the results suggest the possibility of a “leverage effect” that is markedly different …Does Indian sovereign yield volatility reflect economic fundamentals, or whether it is a self-generated force flowing … through markets with little connection to such fundamentals? To answer the question, this research explores the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015269911
We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and … for modeling the ISE-100 return volatility. The t-distribution seems to characterize the distribution of the heavy tailed …, the best models are the ones that can accommodate a leverage effect. Results from fitting the selected exponential GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159436
“anti-leverage effect” with a coefficient of 0.139638. Thus, the volatility of the Bank Nifty returns tends to rise in … intensified the returns vulnerability of banking indices. Against this backdrop, this study intends to model the volatility of the … literature in three ways. First, volatility during the sample period, which corresponds to a time of stress (a bear market), is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351495
In this paper, we analysed the heavy-tailed behaviour in the dynamics of housing-price returns in the United States. We investigated the sources of heavy tails by estimating autoregressive models in which innovations can be subject to GARCH effects and/or non-Gaussianity. Using monthly data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794370
study we investigate the mean-volatility spillover effects that happen across international stock markets. The study, by … taking into consideration the stock market returns based on various indices, investigates the mean-volatility spillover … precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. The analysis provides the evidence of strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872506
We examine the accuracy of survey-based expectations of the Chilean exchange rate relative to the US dollar. Our out-of-sample analysis reveals that survey-based forecasts outperform the Driftless Random Walk (DRW) in terms of Mean Squared Prediction Error at several forecasting horizons. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262273
I show that a congruent, parsimonious, encompassing model discovered using David Hendry's econometric modelling approach and Autometrics can overcome the many inadequacies of the typical static models of US Treasury returns regressed on macroeconomic announcements. The typical specification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928522
A new short-rate model and a new explicit instantaneous mean reversion formula are introduced. The introduction is presented via a comparison of various short-rate one factor models, which are calibrated and analyzed numerically via a Monte Carlo simulation. Two variance reduction techniques,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969435