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Using different loss functions in estimation and forecast evaluation of econometric models can cause suboptimal parameter estimates and inaccurate assessment of predictive ability. Though there are not general guidelines on how to choose the loss function, the modeling of Value-at-Risk is a rare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014175447
In this paper we propose a new battery of test statistics for dynamic specification and density functional form in a wide range of multivariate time series models including linear and non-linear VAR specifications with multivariate GARCH disturbances. The tests are applied to the vector of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118196
Regulatory proposals that require financial intermediaries to issue subordinated debt are based on the premise that transactions in the secondary market of subordinated debt can attenuate moral hazard on the part of management if secondary market prices are informative signals of the solvency...
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Dynamic factor models (DFMs), which assume the existence of a small number of unobserved underlying factors common to a large number of variables, are very popular among empirical macroeconomists. Factors can be extracted using either nonparametric principal components or parametric Kalman...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496118
In this paper, the authors comment on the Monte Carlo results of the paper by Lucchetti and Veneti (A replication of "A quasi-maximum likelihood approach for large, approximate dynamic factor models" (Review of Economics and Statistics), 2020)) that studies and compares the performance of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012211628
Incluye bibliografía ; In this paper we propose a model for monthly inflation with stochastic trend, seasonal and transitory components with QGARCH disturbances. This model distinguishes whether the long-run or short-run components are heteroscedastic. Furthermore, the uncertainty associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530206