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This paper performs a spectral analysis (univariate and bivariate) of monthly series of growth in money (a narrow and a broad aggregate) and in prices for Mexico. This analysis allows the identification of the most important frequencies for each series, as well as of some measures of association...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015263944
The paper shows the advantages and handicaps of implementing an inflation target (IT) regime, from a Post-Keynesian and, thus, an institutional stance. It is Post-Keynesian as long as it does not perceive any benefit in the mainstream split between monetary and fiscal policies. And it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014711
We study the link between central bank independence and inflation by providing narrative and empiricial evidence based on Latin America’s experience over the past 100 years. We present a novel historical dataset of central bank independence for 17 Latin American countries and recount the rocky...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014244524
This article presents a reconstruction of the history of Colombia´s central bank´s (Banco de la Republica) monetary policy between 1990 and 2010, during which explicit inflation targeting was adopted by October of 2000. To do so we developed a theoretical modified Taylor rule with interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010828145
An optimal monetary policy Taylor rule is developed for an open economy, which we then estimate following a Markov regime-switching model for quarterly data from Colombia during 1990-2011. We find two opposite monetary regimes characterized by different policy rules: until October 2000 the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071609
An optimal monetary policy Taylor rule is developed for an open economy, which we then estimate following a Markov regime-switching model for quarterly data from Colombia during 1990-2011. We find two opposite monetary regimes characterized by different policy rules: until October 2000 the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976856
In the paper we analyze the impact of Inflation Targeting (IT) in Mexico. The objective is to evaluate the impact of the implementation of inflation targeting and full-fledged inflation targeting (FFIT) on the level and the variability of the inflation and the output in the Mexican economy. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011134482
The goal of this paper is to construct leading indicators that anticipate inflation cycle turning points on a real time monitoring basis. As a first step, turning points of the IPCA inflation are determined using a periodic stochastic Markov switching model. These turning points are the event...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014136705
One of the main reasons to dollarize an emerging market economy is to eliminate high, persistent, and volatile inflation. To be effective, dollarization must generate sufficient credibility, which in turn depends critically on whether its expected probability of reversal is low. Argentina once...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256581
The main objective of this study is to investigate the long run trade-off between unemployment and inflation in Egypt through the period (1974-2011) using Johansen-Juselius (1990) cointegration test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Results of ADF test indicate that both series are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015241701