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In this paper, we introduce a new pseudo-Bayesian model to incorporate the impact of a financial crisis and establish some properties of stock returns and investors' behavior during a financial crisis and subsequent recovery. Our approach provides a quantitative description for investors'...
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In this paper, we introduce a new Bayesian approach to explain some market anomalies during financial crises and subsequent recovery. We assume that the earnings shock of an asset follows a random walk model with and without drift to incorporate the impact of financial crises. We further assume...
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In this paper we present two dynamic models of background risk. We first present a stochastic factor model with an additive background risk. Thereafter, we present a dynamic model of simultaneous (correlated) multiplicative background risk and additive background risk. In so doing, we use a...
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