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The impact of rising EU Allowance prices on core inflation in the Eurozone

Nishigaki, Hideki - In: Economic affairs : journal of the Institute of Economic … 43 (2023) 2, pp. 245-264

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014338631

Mind the output gap : the disconnect of growth and inflation during recessions and convex Phillips curves in the euro area

Groß, Marco; Semmler, Willi - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803

Monetary aggregates to improve early output gap estimates in the euro area -- an empirical assessment

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens - 2014

Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010248220

Monetary aggregates to improve early output gap estimates in the euro area : an empirical assessment

Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens - In: Journal of forecasting 34 (2015) 7, pp. 533-542

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390448

Understanding inflation dynamics in the Euro Area : deviants and commonalities across member countries

Amberger, Johanna; Fendel, Ralf - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 44 (2017) 2, pp. 261-293

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011782897

Reliable real-time estimates of the euro-area output gap

Burlon, Lorenzo; D'Imperio, Paolo - In: Journal of macroeconomics 64 (2020), pp. 1-19

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433559

On the impact of the launch of the euro on EMU macroeconomic vulnerability

Morvillier, Florian - 2018

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241051

How informative are real time output gap estimates in Europe?

Kangur, Alvar; Kirabaeva, Koralai; Natal, Jean-Marc; … - 2019

useful for predicting inflation. In addition, countries where slack (and potential growth) is overestimated to a larger …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012103755

The impact of the COVID-19 shock on euro area potential output : a sectoral approach

Bandera, Nicolò; Bodnár, Katalin; Le Roux, Julien; … - 2022

The COVID-19 crisis has affected economic sectors very heterogeneously, with possible risks for permanent losses in some sectors. This paper presents a sectoral-level, bottom- up method to estimate euro area potential outputin order to assess the impact of the crisis on it. The estimates are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013367033

Trend-cycle decomposition of output and euro area inflation forecasts : a real-time approach based on model combination

Guérin, Pierre; Maurin, Laurent; Mohr, Matthias - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 19 (2015) 2, pp. 363-393

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308645