valuable for out-of-sample forecasting even after controlling for the central bank inflation forecasts, which are an important …Word embeddings are vectors of real numbers associated with words, designed to capture semantic and syntactic … similarity between the words in a corpus of text. We estimate the word embeddings of the European Central Bank's introductory …

inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …

-term inflation objectives. In the long term, monetary policy is most effective in achieving its objectives when the inflation target … is changed in response to the new economy and when the monetary authority attempts to stabilize both inflation and output … for in changing the assessment of the potential growth rate and the inflation target. …

This paper analyzes the performance of central banks in 27 inflation targeting countries by examining their success in … achieving their explicit inflation targets. For this purpose, we decompose the inflation gap, the difference between actual … inflation and inflation target, into predictable and unpredictable components. We argue that the central banks are successful if …

inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. In a model with an occasionally binding zero-lower-bound constraint …, we show that an inflation bias as well as a deflationary bias exist as a steady-state outcome. We assess the predictions … of this model using unique individual-level inflation expectations data across nine countries that allow for a direct …

We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation within pre-specified bounds. We …