The devastating earthquake that struck the most densely populated and industrialized area of Turkey on August 17, 1999 was one of the most damaging natural disasters during this century. This paper is a first attempt to estimate the transition path of the Turkish economy to its new equilibrium...

The paper states that economic growth is picking up in Turkey and the economy is on the road to recovery. It concludes that it is up to the Turkish policy makers to make sure that the countryu0092s economy will leave its grave problems behind and enjoy a bright future. Despite the recent...

Conventional time series analysis, focusing exclusively on a time series at a given scale, lacks the ability to explain the nature of the data generating process. A process equation that successfully explains daily price changes, for example, is unable to characterize the nature of hourly price...

Fundamental spot exchange rate models preclude the existence of asymmetric information in foreign exchange markets. This article critically investigates the possibility that private information arises in the spot foreign exchange market. Using a rich dataset, we first empirically detect...

This paper evaluates the developments in the Turkish economy in light of the Central Bank's policies during a recent period of floating exchange rate system. It is found that the Central Bank was effective in containing volatility and reducing the average inflation rate while there was a strong...

Following a dramatic collapse of a fixed exchange rate based inflation stabilization program, Turkey moved into a free floating exchange rate system in February 2001. In this paper, an asymmetric stochastic volatility model of the foreign exchange rate in Turkey is estimated for the floating...

This paper provides new empirical evidence for currency substitution in different emerging market economies. Estimation results from a money-in-the-utility-function framework indicate that foreign currencies are strong substitutes for domestic currency in producing liquidity services

In this paper we provide a brief account of the Turkish economy during the last twenty years. After the implementation of a structural change and reform program in 1980, the economy experienced a relatively high growth rate of the Gross Domestic Product, a healthy balance of payments situation...

In this paper we provide a brief account of the Turkish economy during the last twenty years. After the implementation of a structural change and reform program in 1980, the economy experienced a relatively high growth rate of the Gross Domestic Product, a healthy balance of payments situation...

This article examines the implications of the existence of private information in the spot foreign exchange market. Our framework is a high-frequency version of a structural microstructure trade model that measures the market maker's beliefs directly. We find that the underpinnings for the...