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Use of expert knowledge to anticipate the future : issues, analysis and directions
Bolger, Fergus; Wright, George - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 1, pp. 230-243
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011754984
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Expert judgement of probability and risk
Wright, George; Bolger, Fergus; Rowe, Gene - In: Making essential choices with scant information : …, (pp. 213-229). 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003823055
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Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?
Bolger, Fergus; Stranieri, Andrew; Wright, George; … - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 78 (2011) 9, pp. 1671-1680
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428212
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Improving the Delphi process : lessons from social psychological research
Bolger, Fergus; Wright, George - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 78 (2011) 9, pp. 1500-1513
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428261
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Delphi with feedback of rationales : how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?
Belton, Ian; Wright, George; Sissons, Aileen; Bolger, Fergus - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 170 (2021), pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805392
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On the asymmetry of the symmetric MAPE
Goodwin, Paul; Lawton, Richard - In: International journal of forecasting 15 (1999) 4, pp. 405-408
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001428533
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Debiasing forecasts : how useful is the unbiasedness test?
Goodwin, Paul; Lawton, Richard - In: International journal of forecasting 19 (2003) 3, pp. 467-475
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001793029
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Coherence, Calibration, and Expertise in Judgmental Probability Forecasting
Wright, George; Rowe, Gene; Bolger, Fergus; Gammack, John - In: Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 57 (1994) 1, pp. 1-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005431094
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Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from social psychological research
Bolger, Fergus; Wright, George - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 78 (2011) 9, pp. 1500-1514
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009807314
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Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?
Bolger, Fergus; Stranieri, Andrew; Wright, George; … - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 78 (2011) 9, pp. 1671-1681
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009807326