Employing both cointegration analysis and a variety of Granger causality tests, we examine whether the Brazilian stockmarket is efficient in processing new information about public macroeconomic data (semi-strong efficiency). We find the stockmarket to be inefficient, which is in line with most...

We consider the cointegration approach of generalized purchasing power parity to show that a necessary condition for Mercosur to be an optimum currency area is met. Yet there are still large cross-country differences as to cast doubt on the success of either monetary union or official...

The scaling of the probability distribution of the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange index is shown to be described by a Levy stable stochastic process for the modal region of the distribution. Data refer to daily records for the 30-year period 1968-1998. The truncated Levy process is characterized by a...

We conducted a questionnaire study with student subjects to look for explicit correlations between selected biological characteristics of the subjects and manifestation of the Allais paradox in the pattern of their choices between sets of two pairs of risky prospects. We found that particular...

We adapt a genetic-based learning classifier system to a forecast evaluation exercise by making its key parameters endogenous and taking into account the need of convergence of the learning algorithm, an issue usually neglected in the literature. Doing so, we find it hard for the algorithm to...

The number of downloads of economics articles through the repository RePEc showed a sharp drop on the eve of the Great Recession in the economy. This unambiguously occurred with the Blue Ribbon journals, but can possibly be extended to other important journals. If we can perhaps talk of a great...

I evaluate the just launched official criterion for assessing the economics research output in Brazil, called “Qualisâ€. I compare it with the simple journal impact factors released by RePEc. Four biases are identified: (1) left-wing journals have been favored, (2) mainstream British...

Applying a standard questionnaire (Lichtenstein and Fischhoff 1977) to a sample of 44 professional investors, we sought for explicit correlations between selected biological characteristics of the investors and the cognitive bias known as overconfidence. We found that both male and female...

Investors seem to hold on to their losing stocks to a greater extent than they hold on to their winning stocks. This well-documented behavioural regularity is termed disposition effect (Shefrin and Statman, 1985). We set an experiment to replicate results from a previous study of the disposition...