This study aims to evaluate policies that can potentially improve the economic vulnerability of a group of emerging market countries that comprises 23 countries in the period 1998-2007, coping up to 96% of the JPMorgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global as of December 2007. Through a panel data...

This study aims to evaluate policies that can potentially improve the economic vulnerability of a group of emerging market countries that comprises 23 countries in the period 1998-2007, coping up to 96% of the JPMorgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global as of December 2007. Through a panel data...

This paper proposes a simple structural model to estimate the term structure of sovereign spreads and the implied default probability of a selected group of emerging countries, which accounts for more than 50% of the J. P. Morgan EMBIG index. The real exchange rate dynamics, modeled as a pure...

This paper examines the potential impact of US monetary policy normalization on portfolio capital flows to Emerging Markets Economies (EME) explicitly taking into account the unconventional US monetary policy. We build an econometric model of the drivers of capital flows to EMEs and the results...