Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...

This article examines the interaction between order imbalance, stock returns, volatility and volume dynamics during Asian financial crisis using intraday data of 418 stocks traded on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) from January 1996 to October 2003. The inverse relationship between the past...