Numerous empirical literatures display conflicting results. This paper examines the conflicting results concerning the rationality of forecasts and expectations. Meta-analysis techniques are used to examine the empirical studies that tested the rationality hypothesis. What did we know, and when...

Good information is required for policy analysis and forecasting. This paper reviews the broad range of information problems that face an analyst or forecaster. Two distinct situations are considered: (1) the need to explain the current structure of an economic sector, and (2) the requirement to...