Sustainable debt has become a key issue in rating of private as well as sovereign debtors. The problem of how to estimate sustainable debt has also been at the center of debate over theAsian 1997-1998 financial crisis. If the external value of the currency depends on the external debt of a...

Empirical investigations of analysts forecast surveys concerning earnings realizations find significant time varying biases usually attributed to the analysts liability to cognitive limitations. For example, a positive autocorrelation of analysts forecast errors is commonly explained by...

As early as 1934 Graham and Dodd conjectured that excess returns from value investment originate from a tendency of markets to converge towards fundamental values. This paper confirms their insights theoretically within the evolutionary finance model of Evstigneev, Hens, and Schenk-Hopp (2006)...

We apply the recurrent reinforcement learning method of Moody et al. (1998) in the context of the strategic asset allocation computed for sample data from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany. It is found that the optimal asset allocation deviates substantially from the fixed-mix...

This paper shows that in financial markets with endogenous asset supply and demand, both rational and noise traders do coexist in the long run. The finding implies that financial markets are neither informationally nor allocationally efficient. While rational traders have a consistently higher...

We consider a dynamic general equilibrium model with incomplete markets in which we derive conditions for separating the savings decision from the asset allocation decision. It is shown that with logarithmic utility functions this separation holds for any heterogeneity of discount factors while...

Crack and Ledoit (1996) discover the compass rose of stock returns, generated by discrete stock prices and additional assumptions concerning the level and variation of stock prices. They raise the question, whether this phenomenon does introduce predictable structures in stock returns. In...

Estimation of dynamic asset pricing models based on Generalized Method of moments is known to be inefficient and biased. One strand of the literature has provided more efficient estimators based on moment conditions. Here, we present an estimation method based on the numerical solution of the...

We argue that the equity premium puzzle stems from a mismatch of applying mental accounting to experiments on risk aversion but not to the standard consumption based asset pricing model. If, as we suggest, one applies mental accounting consistently in both areas the degrees of risk aversions...

Empirical investigations of analyts forecast surveys concerning financial or macroeconomic variables find significant time varying biases such as autocorrelation in the time series of forecast errors. This fact is usually attributed to behavioural biases of analysts. We develop a random...