In this paper we discuss identification of codependent VAR and VEC models. Codependence of order q is given if a linear combination of autocorrelated variables eliminates the serial correlation after q lags. Importantly, maximum likelihood estimation and corresponding likelihood ratio testing...

In the following paper a simultaneous unobserved components model is applied to US and Canadian output data in order to examine the causal structure of trend and cycle shocks and the way it changes over time. The main focus is placed on the analysis of the subprime crisis impact on the trend and...

This paper deals with simultaneous interactions between the determinants of the US yield curve. For this purpose, we derive a multivariate unobserved components model based on the expectation hypothesis. The influencing factors of the term structure that arise from the structural model are a...