We investigate the performance of a sample of German mutual equity funds overthe period from 1994 to 2003. Our general finding is that mutual funds, on average,hardly produce excess returns relative to their benchmark that are large enough tocover their expenses. This conclusion is drawn from a...

Current discussions about public and private pension plans often include a statement that thestock market is less risky in the long run than in the short run. Pension plans with their ratherlong planning horizon are therefore asked to increase their allocation to the stock market.These...

This paper uses statistical model selection criteria and Avramov’s (2002)Bayesian model averaging approach to analyze the sample evidence onstock market predictability in the presence of model uncertainty. Basedon Swiss stock market data, our posterior analysis finds that neither thecumulative...

This paper examines how the evidence of stock market predictability affectsoptimal portfolio choice for buy-and-hold and dynamic investors withdifferent planning horizons. As in Barberis (2000), particular attention ispaid to estimation risk, i.e., uncertainty about the true values of the...

It is common to differentiate asset allocation strategies with respect tothe length of the planning horizon. The process of selecting a long-termtarget asset allocation is commonly called strategic asset allocation. Theshort-term variation in asset allocation around that target is called...

This paper aims to survey selected recent papers presenting new evidenceon an age-old question in financial economics: Are stock market returnspredictable?. The hypothesis that equity returns are predictable (specificallyat long horizons) has been called a new fact in finance by Cochrane(1999)....

This paper aims to survey selected recent papers presenting new evidenceon an age-old question in financial economics: “Are stock market returnspredictable?”. The hypothesis that equity returns are predictable (specificallyat long horizons) has been called a “new fact in finance” by...

Auch wenn die grundsätzliche Idee von Hedge Funds schon mehr als ein halbes Jahrhundertbesteht, so hat diese Anlageform doch erst in den letzten Jahren an Bedeutunggewonnen, und zwar sowohl in der Praxis als auch in der der akademischen Forschung.Dabei sind Hedge Funds in die größere Klasse...