This paper employs an augmented version of the UECCC GARCH specificationproposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2010) which allows for lagged in-mean effects,level effects as well as asymmetries in the conditional variances. In this unifiedframework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal...

In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflationpersistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank’s Taylorrule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflationand the output gap, we show that the...

In this paper we model the adjustment process of European Union Allowance(EUA) prices to the releases of announcements at high-frequency controlling forintraday periodicity, volatility clustering and volatility persistence. We ¯nd thatthe high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well captured...

This paper employs the unrestricted extended constant conditional correlationGARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2008) to examine theintertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of in°ation and output growthin the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects output...

We consider time series models in which the conditional mean of the response variable given thepast depends on latent covariates. We assume that the covariates can be estimated consistentlyand use an iterative nonparametric kernel smoothing procedure for estimating the conditional meanfunction....

Tse (1998) proposes a model which combines the fractionally integrated GARCH formulationof Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996) with the asymmetric power ARCH specification of Ding,Granger and Engle (1993). This paper analyzes the applicability of a multivariate constant...