We develop a real-options model for optimizing production and sourcing choices under evolutionary supply-chain risk. We model lead time as an endogenous decision and calculate the cost differential required to compensate for the risk exposure coming from lead time. The shape of the resulting...

Under the real options approach to investment under uncertainty, agents formulate optimal policies under the assumption that firms’ growth prospects do not vary over time. This paper proposes and solves a model of investment decisions in which the growth rate and volatility of the decision...

Under the real options approach to investment under uncertainty, agents formulate optimal policies under the assumption that firms' growth prospects do not vary over time. This paper proposes and solves a model of investment decisions in which the growth rate and volatility of the decision...