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This paper decomposes the explained part of the CDS spread changes of 31 listed euro area banks according to various risk drivers. The choice of the credit risk drivers is inspired by the Merton (1974) model. Individual CDS liquidity and other market and business variables are identified to...
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This paper decomposes the explained part of the CDS spread changes of 31 listed euro area banks according to various risk drivers. The choice of the credit risk drivers is inspired by the Merton (1974) model. Individual CDS liquidity and other market and business variables are identified to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596544
It is commonly agreed that the term spread and stock returns are useful in predicting recessions. We investigate whether interest rate and stock market volatility play an additional role as recession indicators. Both risk-return analysis and the theory of investment under uncertainty provide a...
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