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Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries: A "Fan-Chart" Approach

Celasun, Oya; Debrun, Xavier; Ostry, Jonathan D. - In: IMF Staff Papers 53 (2006), pp. 3-3

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analy-sis (DSA) using "fan charts." These depict the magnitude of risks-upside and downside-surrounding public debt projections as a result of uncertain economic conditions and policies. We propose a simulation algorithm...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599162

Anticipated protectionist policies, real exchange rates, and the current account: the case of rigid wages

Edwards, Sebastian; Ostry, Jonathan D. - In: Journal of International Money and Finance 9 (1990) 2, pp. 206-219

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005311688

Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries: A "Fan-Chart" Approach

Celasun, Oya; Debrun, Xavier; Ostry, Jonathan D. - In: IMF Staff Papers 53 (2006), pp. 3-3

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to public debt sustainability analy-sis (DSA) using "fan charts." These depict the magnitude of risks-upside and downside-surrounding public debt projections as a result of uncertain economic conditions and policies. We propose a simulation algorithm...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005142016

Terms of trade disturbances, real exchange rates and welfare : the role of capital controls and labor market distortions

Edwards, Sebastian; Ostry, Jonathan David - 1989

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000764048

Terms of trade disturbances, real exchange rates, and welfare : the role of capital controls and labor market distortions

Edwards, Sebastian - In: Oxford economic papers 44 (1992) 1, pp. 20-34

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001119577

Anticipated protectionist policies, real exchange rates, and the current account : the case of rigid wages

Edwards, Sebastian - In: Journal of international money and finance 9 (1990) 2, pp. 206-219

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001088812

Debt sustainability in emerging market countries : a "fan-chart" approach

Debrun, Xavier; Celasun, Oya; Ostry, Jonathan David - In: Fiscal indicators : papers presented at the Banca …, (pp. 673-717). 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257564

Primary surplus behavior and risks to fiscal sutainability in emerging market countries : a "fan-chart" approach

Celasun, Oya; Debrun, Xavier; Ostry, Jonathan David - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003321855

Primary surplus behavior and risks to fiscal sustainability in emerging market countries : a "fan-chart" approach

Celasun, Oya; Debrun, Xavier; Ostry, Jonathan David - In: IMF staff papers 53 (2006) 3, pp. 401-425

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003425180

Primary Surplus Behavior and Risks to Fiscal Sustainability in Emerging Market Countries: A "Fan-Chart" Approach

Celasun, Oya; Debrun, Xavier; Ostry, Jonathan D. - In: IMF staff papers 53 (2006) 3, pp. 401-425

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10007591940

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