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This paper analyzes the bubble in property values across cities in the U.S. from 1999 through 2005. We find evidence of momentum in house price growth (relative to growth in rents) away from the underlying “fundamentals” throughout the 1980-2005 period; however, momentum increased after 1999....
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We examine house price co-movements within and cross four major economic blocks: North America, Europe, Oceania and the Far East. The purpose of this study is to establish: (1) Whether there was increased house price correlation within a given economic block or across different blocks in the...
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It has been widely assumed that there was a bubble in the U.S. housing market after 1999. This paper analyzes the extent to which that was true. We define a bubble as: (1) a regime shift that is characterized by a change in the properties of deviations from the fundamentals of house price...
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