This paper investigates the claim that the common finding of cointegration between spot and lagged forward exchange rates reflects the existence of covered interest arbitrage and not, as is generally accepted, long-run market efficiency. Breuer and Wohar's (1996) methodology is employed to match...

The ability of futures markets to predict subsequent spot prices has been a controversial topic for a number of years. Empirical evidence to date is mixed; for any given market, some studies find evidence of efficiency, others of inefficiency. In part, these apparently conflicting findings reflect...

Monthly data on the $US/ECU exchange rate are analysed in light of the random walk hypothesis. A battery of tests, including procedures that are robust to conditional heteroscedasticity, are applied against linear alternatives to departures from the random walk. These tests are all based on the...