Mortality projections are major concerns for public policy, social security and private insurance. This paper implements a Bayesian log-bilinear Poisson regression model to forecast mortality. Computations are carried out using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods in which the degree of smoothing is...

A new method in two variations for the identification of most relevant covariates in linear models with homoscedastic errors is proposed. In contrast to many known selection criteria, the method is based on an interpretable scaled quantity. This quantity measures a maximal relative error one...

Recently an efficient fixed point algorithm, called maximization by parts (MBP), for finding maximum likelihood estimates has been applied to models based on Gaussian copulas. It requires a decomposition of a likelihood function into two parts and their iterative maximization by solving score...

In this article we develop statistical models for bankruptcy prediction of Norwegian firms in the limited liability sector using annual balance sheet information. We fit generalized linear, generalized linear mixed and Generalized Additive Models (GAM) in a discrete hazard setting. It is...

We provide a Bayesian analysis of pair-copula constructions (PCCs) (Aas et al., 2009), which outperform many other multivariate copula constructions in modeling dependencies in financial data. We use bivariate t-copulas as building blocks in a PCC to allow extreme events in bivariate margins...