This paper investigates the forecasting accuracy of the trimmed mean inflation rate of the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) deflator. Earlier works have examined the forecasting ability of limited-influence estimators (trimmed means and the weighted median) of the Consumer Price Index but...

This paper examines the interaction of core inflation and monetary policy. Interest in core has grown because of inflation targeting. Core inflation is defined in numerous ways giving rise to many potential measures; I define core inflation as the best forecaster of inflation. A cross-country...

"The NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health provides summaries of publications like this. You can sign up to receive the NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health by email. We extend the semi-parametric estimation method for dynamic discrete choice models using Hotz and Miller's (1993) conditional choice...