The Third United Nations Conference on the Law of the Sea has been concluded in the spring of 1982 with the adoption of a convention text. The acceptance of this text (signature and ratification) by the necessary number of states is still highly uncertain. The major disagreements relate to the...

The DART model is a multi-sectoral, multi-regional dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the world developed for the analysis of international climate policies. Since the first version of DART was developed at the Kiel Institute for World Economics in 1998, the model has undergone a...

This paper proposes an approach for estimating the uncertainty associated with model-based macroeconomic forecasts. We argue that estimated forecast intervals should account for the uncertainty arising from selecting the specification of an empirical forecasting model from the sample data. To...