Showing 1 - 10 of 74
Long-run restrictions have been used extensively for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. Such restrictions are typically just-identifying but can be checked by utilizing changes in volatility. This paper reviews and contrasts the volatility models that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249640
We consider VAR models for variables exhibiting cointegration and common cyclical features. While the presence of … cointegration reduces the rank of the long-run multiplier matrix, other types of common features lead to rank reduction of the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398127
This paper re-examines the UIP relation by estimating first a benchmark linear Cointegrated VAR including the nominal exchange rate and the interest rate differential as well as central bank announcements, and then a Cointegrated Smooth Transition VAR (CVSTAR) model incorporating nonlinearities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617
Chen and Zadrozny (1998) developed the linear extended Yule-Walker (XYW) method for determining the parameters of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model with available covariances of mixed-frequency observations on the variables of the model. If the parameters are determined uniquely for available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011459174
A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. A number of different models for heteroskedasticity or conditional heteroskedasticity are proposed and used in applications in this context. This study reviews the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509631
This paper provides a detailed assessment of the real-time forecast accuracy of a wide range of vector autoregressive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154665
We propose a novel dynamic mixture vector autoregressive (VAR) model in which time-varying mixture weights are driven by the predictive likelihood score. Intuitively, the state weight of the k-th component VAR model in the subsequent period is increased if the current observation is more likely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014251324
the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619627
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003496561
little evidence for them. We argue that this outcome could be due to episodic failure of cointegration, possible two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013041372