Showing 1 - 10 of 68
This paper employs MIMIC, an applied general equilibrium model of the Dutch economy, to explore various tax cuts aimed at combating unemployment and raising labor supply. MIMIC combines modern labor-market theories, a firm empirical foundation detailed description of Dutch labor-market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233002
Macroeconomists have largely converged on method, model design, reduced-form shocks, and principles of policy advice. Our main disagreements today are about implementing the methodology. Some think New Keynesian models are ready to be used for quarter-to-quarter quantitative policy advice; we do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758420
We describe some of the main features of the recent vintage macroeconomic models used for monetary policy evaluation. We point to some of the key differences with respect to the earlier generation of macro models, and highlight the insights for policy that these new frameworks have to offer. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759756
This paper presents a macroeconomic model that is both a completely specified dynamic general equilibrium model and a probabilistic model for time series data. We view the model as a potential competitor to existing ISLM-based models that continue to be used for actual policy analysis. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139986
The paper reviews recent developments in macroeconomic theory and their implications for econometric modelling and for policy design. The following issues are addressed. 1) The theoretical and practical problems of modelling sequence economies. 2) Problems of evaluating the role of money given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219335
This paper develops a threshold-augmented dynamic multi-country model (TGVAR) to quantify the macroeconomic effects of Covid-19. We show that there exist threshold effects in the relationship between output growth and excess global volatility at individual country levels in a significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247849
Inflation targeting is a monetary policy rule that has implications for both the average performance of an economy and its business cycle behavior. We use a modern, rational expectations model to study the twin effects of this policy rule. The model highlights forward- looking consumption and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218907
This paper uses a global macroeconomic simulation model to identify the factors that have contributed to global trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777307
stochastic simulation. One can estimate, for example, the probability of a recession occurring within some fixed period in the … present procedure is that the probabilities estimated from the stochastic simulation are objective in the sense that they are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776706
Much recent analysis of international monetary and fiscal policy issues, such as the choice of an exchange-rate regime or the design of a policy coordination scheme, has been conducted by stochastic simulations with multicountry econometric models. In these studies it has become standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145154