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analyze empirical results for a selection of existing realized measures of volatility and incorporate them in a Realized GARCH … framework for the joint modeling of returns and realized measures of volatility. An influential bias in these measures is … over time, which stresses the importance of careful modeling and forecasting of volatility. We show that improved model fit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945126
framework can be used to estimate the autocorrelation function of the latent volatility process and a key persistence parameter …. Our analysis is motivated by the recent literature on realized (volatility) measures, such as the realized variance, that … are imperfect estimates of actual volatility. In an empirical analysis using realized measures for the DJIA stocks we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008602579
In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of power and multipower variations of stochastic processes. Processes of the type considered serve in particular, to analyse data of velocity increments of a fluid in a turbulence regime with spot intermittency sigma. The purpose of the present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991540
A stylized fact is that realized variance has long memory. We show that, when the instantaneous volatility is driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008915798
The finite sample properties of the state space methods applied to long memory time series are analyzed through Monte Carlo simulations. The state space setup allows to introduce a novel modeling approach in the long memory framework, which directly tackles measurement errors and random level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020197
based on low-frequency tick data tend to spuriously attribute a burst of volatility to the jump component thereby severely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024917
the key ingredient enabling inference about volatility and the presence of jumps in financial time series and is thus of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009148814
variation and draw jump-robust inference about the diffusive volatility component, when a high-frequency record of asset prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009385750
We introduce the Realized Exponential GARCH model that can utilize multiple realized volatility measures for the … characterized by a flexible modeling of the dependence between returns and volatility. We apply the model to DJIA stocks and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851191
realized volatility series with a time-varying parameters HAR model with exogenous variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851262