Showing 1 - 10 of 46
Riedel and Sass (2013) study complete information normal form games in which ambiguity averse players use ambiguous randomization strategies, in addition to pure and mixed strategies. The solution concept they propose, the Ellsberg equilibrium, is a coarsening of the classical Nash equilibrium....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435989
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499225
Knightian uncertainty leads naturally to nonlinear expectations. We introduce a corresponding equilibrium concept with sublinear prices and establish their existence. In general, such equilibria lead to Pareto inefficiency and coincide with Arrow-Debreu equilibria only if the values of net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477416
The aim of this work is to give an overview on nonlinear expectation and to relate them to other concepts that describe model uncertainty or imprecision in a probabilistic framework. We discuss imprecise versions of stochastic processes with a particular interest in imprecise Markov chains....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135809
This paper studies two player stopping games in a discrete time multiple prior framework with a finite time horizon. Optimal stopping times as well as recursive formulas for the value processes of the games are derived. These results are used to characterize the set of no-arbitrage prices for a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016141
This text reviews a recent approach to modeling "radically uncertain" behavior in strategic interactions. By rigorously rooting the approach in decision theory, we provide a foundation for applications of Knightian uncertainty in mechanism design, principal agent and moral hazard models. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621734
This paper extends decision theory under imprecise probabilistic information to dynamic settings. We explore the relationship between the given objective probabilistic information, an agent's subjective multiple priors, and updating. Dynamic consistency implies rectangular sets of priors at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011639569
We study the pricing of contracts in fixed income markets in the presence of volatility uncertainty. We consider an arbitrage-free bond market under volatility uncertainty. The uncertainty about the volatility is modeled by a G-Brownian motion, which drives the forward rate dynamics. The absence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175590
In this paper, we study an irreversible investment problem under Knightian uncertainty. In a general framework, in which Knightian uncertainty is modeled through a set of multiple priors, we prove existence and uniqueness of the optimal investment plan, and derive necessary and sufficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198652
Beauchêne, Li, and Li (2019) show that ambiguous persuasion leads to new interim equilibria with higher ex ante value for the Sender compared to the standard Bayesian persuasion. However, in their equilibrium the strategy of the Receiver is in general not ex ante optimal. This note, defines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009891