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This paper assesses empirically whether or not current account reversals have permanent growth effects and the role of macroeconomic policies in this process. The methodology developed in de Mello, Padoan and Rousova (2010) to identify a chronology of current account reversals is applied to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009131544
The aftermath of the global financial crisis of 2007–2009 has called the export-led growth model of many Asian economies into question. This paper describes the contribution that macroeconomic policy can make to promote a rebalancing of growth away from dependence on exports to developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042794
China is well-placed to avoid the so-called “middle-income trap” and to continue to converge towards the more advanced economies, even though growth is likely to slow from near double-digit rates in the first decade of this millennium to around 7% at the 2020 horizon. However, in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277005
We show that the behavior of entrepreneurs facing incomplete financial markets and risky investment can explain why accelerations of productivity growth in developing countries tend to be associated with current account improvements. Under uninsurable investment risk, entrepreneurs have to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010788953
We analyze recent contributions to growth theory based on the model of expanding variety of Romer [Romer, P. (1990). “Endogenous technological change”. Journal of Political Economy 98, 71–102]. In the first part, we present different versions of the benchmark linear model with imperfect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023784
Economic convergence of the new member states (NMS) of the EU towards the old EU countries (EU-15), not only in terms …, consumption, and labour mobility behaviour to address several other issues like welfare and sustainability in terms of foreign … indebtedness. At the same time we evaluate the impact of convergence on the EU-15 countries also, by endogenising offshoring and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136618
This paper provides instrumental variables estimates of the response of aggregate private consumption to transitory … transitory shocks to aggregate output on private consumption in poor countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056357
This paper provides instrumental variables estimates of the response of aggregate private consumption to transitory … transitory shocks to aggregate output on private consumption in poor countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083244
In der Juliausgabe veröffentlichte der Wirtschaftsdienst einen Aufsatz von Georg Erber mit dem Titel „Irrungen und Wirrungen mit der Leistungsbilanzstatistik“. Dazu äußert sich Jan Priewe kritisch. Anschließend stellt Georg Erber in einer Erwiderung seine Sicht dar.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689201
We explain the size of international reserve depletion during the global crisis, where only about half of the EMs drew down their reserves as part of the adjustment mechanism. Countries that internalized their large exposure to trade shocks before the crisis, used their IR as a buffer stock in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010943004