Often, the moment of a treatment and the moment at which the outcome of interest occurs are realizations of stochastic processes with dependent unobserved determinants. Notably, both treatment and outcome are characterized by the moment they occur. We compare different methods of inference of...

In the aftermath of the financial crisis, this study investigates which underlying determinants cause bank rating transitions. We develop survival analysis models to explain credit transition hazards using macroeconomic factors and the rating history. We find that there exists a significant...

This paper investigates the Estimating Function method in the context of ACD modelling and appraises the properties of these estimates. A simulation study is conducted to demonstrate that these estimates are more efficient than the corresponding ML and QML estimates.

This note shows that the asymptotic variance of Chen’s [Chen, S., 2002. Rank estimation of transformation models. Econometrica 70 (4) 1683–1697] two-step estimator of the link function in a linear transformation model depends on the first-step estimator of the index coefficients.

We study the identification of a mixed proportional hazard model with lagged duration dependence when data provide multiple outcomes per stratum. Within strata variation is exploited to non-parametrically identify lagged duration dependence in more general models than in the literature.

We reanalyze the effects of a Danish active labour market program social experiment, that included a range of sub-treatments, including monitoring, job search assistance and training. Previous studies have shown that the overall effect of the experiment is positive. We apply newly developed...

This paper considers the definition and identification of treatment effects on conditional transition probabilities. We show that even under sequential random assignment only the instantaneous average treatment effect is point identified. Because treated and control units drop out at different...

We test if social work norms are important for work absence due to self-perceived sick-ness. To this end, we use a randomized social experiment designed to estimate the effect of monitoring on work absence. The treated were exposed to less monitoring of their eligibility to use sickness...

The vocational employment training program is the most expensive training program in Sweden and a cornerstone of labor market policy. We analyze its causal effects on the individual transition rate from unemployment to employment by exploiting variation in the timing of treatment and outcome,...

Often, a treatment and the outcome of interest are characterized by the moment they occur, and these moments are realizations of stochastic processes with dependent unobserved determinants. We develop a simple and intuitive method for inference on the treatment effect. The method can be...