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The growth of business firms is an example of a system of complex interacting units that resembles complex interacting systems in nature such as earthquakes. Remarkably, work in econophysics has provided evidence that the statistical properties of the growth of business firms follow the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893849
Government intervention during the banking holiday of March 1933 resolved the uncertainty usually created by bank suspensions. Including banking holiday suspensions in growth regressions therefore biases downwards the estimates of the real effects of bank suspensions. In this paper, I propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865724
probability of the Greek GDP being in boom or recession. Then probit models extract the predictive information of a set of …) between the probability of not being in recession and the probability estimated by the probit model is the function that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312197
This article summarizes the main findings on problems related to the measurement and identification of business cycles. The aim of this study is to define and identify the determinants of business cycles. This paper provides an overview of the methodology and its future course. Our investigation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453001
This paper evaluates whether publicly available daily news lead texts help nowcasting Swiss GDP growth. I collect titles and lead texts from three Swiss newspapers and calculate text-based indicators for various economic concepts. A composite indicator calculated from these indicators is highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014324815
This paper analyzes the effects of economic growth on labor earnings in Bolivia during 1999-2012. More precisely, we develop a labor market model to capture both cycle and trend effects of prices, and production on earnings, which is estimated econometrically using pseudo-panel data methods. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333626
The recent decline in gross domestic product (GDP) growth in India raised a debate about whether it is a trend or a business cycle slowdown. We observe a cyclical downturn post-global financial crisis due to external and domestic conditions. With global recovery strengthening and appropriate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010463539
the left quantile of the GDP growth distribution in the 2008 recession; (iii) measures of excess leverage conceptually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173525
This paper offers an in-depth examination of the behavior of necessity- and opportunitydriven entrepreneurship. First, it considers their relevance to total entrepreneurial activity. It then seeks to determine which socio-cultural and economic factors affect the two types of entrepreneurship, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197512
financial system with the ability to create money ex nihilo, over time it drags the economy down to recession or negative growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012010378