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Universal Fluctuations in Growth Dynamics of Economic Systems

Frey, Nathan C. - 2019

The growth of business firms is an example of a system of complex interacting units that resembles complex interacting systems in nature such as earthquakes. Remarkably, work in econophysics has provided evidence that the statistical properties of the growth of business firms follow the same...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893849

Firm-Level Entry and Exit Dynamics over the Business Cycles

Tian, Can - 2017

This paper presents a set of facts on the cyclicality of firm births and deaths in the U.S. during the period 1979--2013. Asymmetry in the cyclicality between firm birth and firm death is observed: aggregate firm birth is generally significantly procyclical, while the (counter-)cyclicality in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955841

Firm Product Scope, Oligopolistic Competition, and the Business Cycle : Evidence and Theory

Guo, Diyue - 2020

I investigate changes in product scope, the number of products that a firm offers, over the business cycle and decompose the impact of such changes on aggregate output. By using the Nielsen Retail Scanner data of U.S. consumer goods purchases for 2007- 2014, I find that firm product scope is an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828434

Entry, Exit and Plant-Level Dynamics over the Business Cycle

Lee, Yoonsoo - 2009

This paper analyzes the implications of plant-level dynamics over the business cycle. We first document basic patterns of entry and exit of U.S. manufacturing plants, in terms of employment and productivity, between 1972 and 1997. We show how entry and exit patterns vary during the business...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720467

Dating US business cycles with macro factors

Fossati, Sebastian - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 20 (2016) 5, pp. 529-547

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011649152

Recession forecasting with time-varying predictors

Hwang, Youngjin - In: Korea and the world economy 16 (2015) 3, pp. 379-417

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450873

Forecasting low frequency macroeconomic events with high frequency data

Galvão, Ana Beatriz C.; Owyang, Michael T. - 2020

High-frequency financial and economic activity indicators are usually time aggregated before forecasts of low-frequency macroeconomic events, such as recessions, are computed. We propose a mixed-frequency modelling alternative that delivers high-frequency probability forecasts (including their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308083

Firm-level investment spikes and aggregate investment over the Great Recession

Disney, Richard; Miller, Helen; Pope, Thomas - 2018

demonstrate explains part of ﬁrms’ heterogeneous investment responses to the Great Recession. We ﬁnd an important role for low … demand growth in depressing investment in the recession and for ongoing uncertainty in prolonging investment weakness in … an investment spike after the recession, which is consistent with them having been more exposed to ﬁnancial distress. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011817429

Measuring business cycles : a review

Škare, Marinko; Stjepanović, Saša - In: Contemporary economics 10 (2016) 1, pp. 83-94

This article summarizes the main findings on problems related to the measurement and identification of business cycles. The aim of this study is to define and identify the determinants of business cycles. This paper provides an overview of the methodology and its future course. Our investigation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453001

Spatial point pattern analysis and industry concentration

Kosfeld, Reinhold; Eckey, Hans-Friedrich; Lauridsen, Jørgen - 2009

Traditional measures of spatial industry concentration are restricted to given areal units. They do not make allowance for the fact that concentration may be differently pronounced at various geographical levels. Methods of spatial point pattern analysis allow to measure industry concentration...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852222

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