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This paper attempts to model the price relationship between the major exporters of wheat. The motivation of such research is to reveal whether prices are integrated and whether potential nonlinearities in price adjustment exist. Given the perception that transactions costs may be highly variable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008477208
Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) model is widely adopted in the exchange rate study as its … validity of this hypothesis that the ESTAR exchange rate model is superior to LSTAR exchange rate model on the basis of … version as well as the ESTAR model, which has thus far been deemed the most appropriate nonlinear exchange rate model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125620
- Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134817
Rapach and Wohar (2006). Moreover, we illustrate graphically that the nonlinearity in the forecasts from the ESTAR model is … also illustrate graphically why one step-ahead forecasts from the nonlinear ESTAR model fail to yield superior predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005135159
We develop a Wald type test to distinguish between long memory and ESTAR nonlinearity by using a directed … good size and power properties to distinguish between stationary long memory and ESTAR. Moreover, the second approach is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005003400
The forecast performance of the empirical ESTAR model of Taylor, Peel and Sarno (2001) is examined for 4 bilateral real … and their forecasts. It is shown graphically that the nonlinearity in the point forecasts of the ESTAR model decreases as … ESTAR specification over a simple AR(1) model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005092403
smooth transition autoregressive (ESTAR) models of deviations from PPP using both CPI- and WPI-based measures for a broad set …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005102709
The forecast performance of the empirical ESTAR model of Taylor et al. (2001) is examined for 4 bilateral real exchange … study shows that the non-linearity in the point forecasts of the ESTAR model decrease as the forecast horizon increases …. Multiple steps ahead density forecasts of the ESTAR model are approximately normal looking, with no signs of skewness or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005103385
. However, theoretically well motivated nonlinear models, such as the ESTAR, appear to parsimoniously fit the PPP data and … tests against a variety of nonstationary hypotheses. We also fit the ESTAR model to data from high inflation economies. Our … results provide further support for ESTAR specification. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731239
original structure of the estimated residuals and obtain new critical values of the coefficient estimates. A nonlinear (ESTAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731369