Iran is the major producer of pistachio nuts in the world. Iran dominated the international pistachio export markets until 1982, when a new competitor, the United States, emerged in the international markets. Currently, both Iran and the U.S. are major pistachio exporters to Japan. The empirical...

We derive the parameter restrictions that a standard equity market model implies for a bivariate vector autoregression for stock prices and dividends, and we show how to test these restrictions using likelihood ratio tests.  The restrictions, which imply that stock returns are unpredictable,...

Accepted for publication in the <I>Journal of Business & Economic Statistics</I>.<P> We consider cointegration rank estimation for a p-dimensional Fractional Vector Error Correction Model. We propose a new two-step procedure which allows testing for further long-run equilibrium relations with possibly...</p></i>

This paper derives several Lagrange Multiplier tests for the panel data regression model with spatial error correlation. These tests draw upon two strands of earlier work. The first is the LM tests for the spatial error correlation model discussed in Anselin (1988, 1999) and Anselin, Bera,...

The most common mode of inference for order restricted models is likelihood inference. See T. Robertson, F. T. Wright, and R. L. Dykstra (1988, "Order Restricted Statistical Inference," Wiley, New York) for an excellent treatment of inference in such models. In this paper we demonstrate that...

A vector autoregressive model allowing for unit roots as well as explosive characteristic roots is developed. The Granger-Johansen representation shows that this results in processes with two common features: a random walk and an explosively growing process. Co-integrating and co-explosive...

The central idea of this study is to analyse the moving average timing model that improves the risk-adjusted returns across various asset classes. This quantitative method tests Bombay Stock Exchange Index since 2000 on other diverse and publicly traded asset class indices, including the...

I consider the problem of detecting and predicting regime switching behaviour in the context of Indian Stock Market data. First I discuss detection of volatility change points using the LRT and the Binary Segmentation procedure of Vostrikova (1981). The detected volatility changes are correlated...

We derive the parameter restrictions that a standard equity market model implies for a bivariate vector autoregression for stock prices and dividends, and we show how to test these restrictions using likelihood ratio tests. The restrictions, which imply that stock returns are unpredictable, are...