Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Shah, Zahra - Department of Economics, Faculty of Economic and … - 2010
-middle, medium-middle, small-middle, luxury and affordable, exhibits non-linearity based on smooth transition autoregressive (STAR …) models estimated using quarterly data covering the period of 1970:Q2 to 2009:Q3. We find overwhelming evidence of non-linearity … for non-linearity by comparing one- to four-quarters-ahead out-of-sample forecasts of the non-linear time series model …