candidate to win an election, even though his main agenda item (i.e., postal privatization) is strongly opposed by special …

situations through the proxy analysis of election and the sovereign bond spreads. Our study leads to three main findings. First … over the possibility of government policies or instability brought by the election. During a crisis, however, investors …, results show that the election induced peak shrinks from 3 months before and after the election date to 1-2 months when the …