Showing 1 - 10 of 39
When analysing macroeconomic data it is often of relevance to allow for structural breaks in the statistical analysis. In particular, cointegration analysis in the presence of structural breaks could be of interest. We propose a cointegration model with piecewise linear trend and known break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605048
This paper studies the small sample properties of processes which exhibit both a stochastic and a deterministic trend. Whereas for estimation, inference and forecasting purposes the latter asymptotically dominates the former, it is not so when only a finite number of observations is available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090654
This paper presents new models for aggregate UK data on mortgage possessions (foreclosures) and mortgage arrears (payment delinquencies).  The innovations include the treatment of difficuly to observe variations in loan quality and shifts in forbearance policy by lenders, by common latent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008483763
Data from two different primary sources were used to construct indices of house prices (HPI) and rents (RRPI) of residential property located in London and the Home Counties between 1895 and 1939.  The indices were derived using the hedonics method of price index measurement, which extracts the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261240
We examine the relationship between inflation and unemployment in the long run,using quarterly US data from 1952 to … 2010. Using a band-pass filter approach, we find strong evidence that a positive relationship exists, where inflation leads … Berentsen, Menzio, and Wright (2011): the relationship between inflation and unemployment is positive in the long run. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293392
UK inflation varied greatly over 1865-1990, in response to many policy and exchange-rate regimes, two world wars and … each of these. Variables representative of most theories of inflation mattered empirically over the sample, yielding an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133073
Empirical models of inflation often incorporate equilibrium correction effects based upon levels of prices and input … permanent shifts in the markup factor through estimating an inflation equation that includes a time-varying intercept. The model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604884
of the system to one comprising inflation and relative prices. This is then estimated in I(1) space. An impulse response … on domestic inflation is moderated. This explains why the depreciation of sterling in 1992 left inflation unchanged. In … contrast, high real import prices in 1974 increased inflation because wage accommodation effects were absent. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604928
Standard open economy models predict that openness to trade should exert a positive effect on the slope of the output-inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605006
inflation dynamics in open economies, but previous studies have not made a distinction between fixed and floating exchange rate … driving output and inflation (the underlying theory requires that monetary shocks dominate). We calculate new measures of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605043