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rising, thus making room for a more balanced overall GDP growth. Industrial production will continue to expand rapidly in …-empts excessive adjustments. The labour market situation is improving across most NMS and accession countries as accelerated GDP …. Macroeconomic stability will be maintained, though inflation is picking up; and is a serious problem in Serbia and Romania …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009492715
projections of per capita GDP until 2015 are attached. The high growth recorded in 2004 has been generally slowing down in the … first months of 2005. The average GDP growth rate for the eight new EU member states (NMS) in the first quarter of 2005 … continues to perform excellently. Foreign trade has been even more instrumental in generating GDP growth in the first quarter of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009492721
investment. The positive contribution of net exports to GDP growth is expected to continue in 2006-2007. Besides, rising private … (except in Hungary). Inflation slowed down to very low levels and is no longer a serious problem. Hungary and Slovakia will …. Rising consumption was the main contributor to GDP growth in this region. That was partly the consequence of the increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009492722
encouraging now than in the recent past GDP growth will accelerate in most countries (without recurring inflation), but … new EU member states of Central and Eastern Europe (NMS-8) recorded higher GDP growth (5% on average) than in the previous … Macedonia), as well as in Belarus and Ukraine (Russia's GDP grew by 7% again). The transition economies have thus been one of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009649596
Romania (which joined the EU on 1 January 2007) was also accelerating throughout 2006. Everywhere, except Hungary, GDP growth … has been driven predominantly by domestic demand. External trade, which significantly boosted GDP growth in a number of … forecasts of the GDP in individual NMS in 2007 and 2008 are looking very good. It is expected that household consumption will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005695387
the economic balance of the first three years is a clear success for the whole EU. Over the period 2001-2003 GDP in the … that in 2001-2003 the NMS reduced the gap in per capita GDP in relation to the EU average by 2.7 p.p., and the pace of … stability indicators – inflation, current account status and fiscal balance – reveal a more differentiated and less favourable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005695388
hurt directly or seriously. Even the possible indirect effects should not be too severe. GDP growth is projected to slow … down from about 6% in 2007 to some 5% per year over the period 2008 2010. Inflation will gradually decline, yet in most NMS … European region to enjoy faster GDP growth in 2009 and 2010 of up to 6%. Remittances and a credit boom will continue to fuel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005695392
Multivariate unobserved components (structural) time series models are fitted to annual post-war observations on real income per capita in countries in the euro zone. The aim is to establish stylized facts about convergence as it relates both to long-run income levels and to cycles. The analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067405
This paper presents new models for aggregate UK data on mortgage possessions (foreclosures) and mortgage arrears (payment delinquencies). The innovations include the treatment of difficult to observe variations in loan quality and shifts in forbearance policy by lenders, by common latent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008611018
Table Overview 2013 and outlook 2014-2016 (p. 1) Figure 2013 estimate and 2014 forecast for CESEE growth drivers (p. 2) Bulgaria upcoming early elections take centre stage (by Rumen Dobrinsky; p. 3) Croatia recession continues (by Hermine Vidovic; p. 4) Czech Republic fiscal relaxation to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105913