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Option-implied asymmetries in bond market expectations around monetary policy actions of the ECB

Vähämaa, Sami - 2004

This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636538

The informational content of over-the-counter currency options

Christoffersen, Peter; Mazzotta, Stefano - 2004

than previously found using market-traded options. Finally, we find that wide-range interval and density forecasts are …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639420

Modelling the implied probability of stock market movements

Glatzer, Ernst; Scheicher, Martin - 2003

In this paper we study risk-neutral densities (RNDs) for the German stock market. The use of option prices allows us to quantify the risk-neutral probabilities of various levels of the DAX index. For the period from December 1995 to November 2001, we implement the mixture of log-normals model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639855

Testing the asset pricing model of exchange rates with survey data

Naszodi, Anna - 2010

This paper proposes a new test for the asset pricing model of the exchange rate. It examines whether the way market analysts generate their forecasts is closer to the one implied by the asset pricing model, or to any of those implied by some alternative models. The asset pricing model is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640340

Investors with too many options?

Dorn, Daniel - 2010

During the last decade, markets for covered warrants (bank-issued options) have flourished in Europe and Asia. In these … trades in call options on the German DAX index, this paper documents substantial price dispersion across securities that are … close substitutes. Moreover, investors generally fail to identify attractively priced options. The results suggest that the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640343

The term structure of risk premia

Berg, Tobias - 2010

This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640393

A quantitative mirror on the Euribor market using implied probability density functions

Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert de; Puigvert Gutiérrez, … - 2010

the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete … history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten years of daily data, from 13 January 1999 onwards. Time series of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640514

Systemic risk-taking

Korinek, Anton - 2011

This paper analyzes the efficiency of risk-taking decisions in an economy that is prone to systemic risk, captured by financial amplification effects that occur in response to strong adverse shocks. It shows that decentralized agents who have unconstrained access to a complete set of Arrow...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640834

Indeterminacy of rational expectations equilibria in sequential financial markets

Donati, Paola - 2003

We provide a general characterization of the structure of rational expectations equilibria of any degree of revelation for pure exchange, sequential economies, with deffinitely many states of private information, an incomplete financial market and nominal assets. We estimate the dimension of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635915